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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Aston Villa |
27.97% ( -1.41) | 24.24% ( 0.22) | 47.78% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( -1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% ( -1.87) | 45.29% ( 1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.36% ( -1.81) | 67.63% ( 1.81) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( -1.94) | 29.74% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% ( -2.42) | 65.81% ( 2.42) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( -0.25) | 19.06% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.34% ( -0.42) | 50.66% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.23% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.44)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.66)0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.49)1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.21% Total : 47.78% |
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