SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Aston Villa |
46.33% ( 0.28) | 23.02% ( -0.12) | 30.65% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 63.01% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.02% ( 0.48) | 37.98% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.75% ( 0.52) | 60.25% ( -0.51) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0.3) | 16.79% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.26% ( 0.53) | 46.74% ( -0.52) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( 0.14) | 24.28% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.36% ( 0.19) | 58.64% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.3% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.65% |
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