Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
42.03% ( -0.17) | 23.18% ( -0.02) | 34.79% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 64.18% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.82% ( 0.13) | 37.18% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.62% ( 0.15) | 59.38% ( -0.14) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% ( -0.02) | 18.18% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.83% ( -0.03) | 49.17% ( 0.04) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( 0.16) | 21.56% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.36% ( 0.25) | 54.64% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 42.03% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.79% |
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