Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 37.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Chelsea |
39.2% ( 0.01) | 23.1% ( -0) | 37.7% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 64.97% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.67% ( 0.01) | 36.33% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.54% ( 0.01) | 58.45% ( -0.01) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.95% ( 0.01) | 19.05% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.36% ( 0.01) | 50.63% ( -0.02) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.26% ( -0) | 19.73% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.23% ( -0) | 51.76% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 37.7% |
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