Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Chelsea |
44.95% ( 0.07) | 22.32% ( 0.01) | 32.73% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 66.74% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.45% ( -0.06) | 33.55% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.65% ( -0.07) | 55.36% ( 0.07) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.42% ( 0) | 15.59% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.45% ( 0) | 44.56% ( -0) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% ( -0.07) | 20.95% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( -0.11) | 53.69% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 32.73% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: