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Premier League | Gameweek 34
May 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
CL

Brighton
1 - 2
Chelsea

Welbeck (90+7')
Dunk (29'), Verbruggen (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Palmer (34'), Nkunku (64')
Sterling (77'), Caicedo (79')
James (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Chelsea
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawChelsea
44.95% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 22.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 32.73% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 66.74% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.45% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)33.55% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.65% (-0.07 -0.07)55.36% (0.073 0.07)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)20.95% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (-0.106 -0.11)53.69% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.95%
    Chelsea 32.73%
    Draw 22.32%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 32.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-4 Man City
Thursday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Chelsea
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Spurs
Thursday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in FA Cup


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