Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
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