SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.49%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Cartagena |
41.49% ( 0.49) | 30.08% ( 0.29) | 28.43% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 40.5% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.64% ( -1.09) | 66.36% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.17% ( -0.75) | 84.83% ( 0.75) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( -0.28) | 31.65% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.94% ( -0.32) | 68.06% ( 0.32) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.25% ( -1.27) | 40.74% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.67% ( -1.15) | 77.33% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 14.83% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.48% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.07% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.3% Total : 28.42% |
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