SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Algeria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Algeria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.6%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burkina Faso in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Mauritania |
50.26% ( -0.03) | 28.55% ( -0) | 21.19% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 38.67% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.25% ( 0.03) | 65.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.59% ( 0.02) | 84.41% ( -0.02) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( 0) | 26.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% | 61.93% ( 0) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.74% ( 0.06) | 47.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.32% ( 0.05) | 82.68% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 16.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.7% Total : 50.25% | 0-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 12.48% 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 21.19% |
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