SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Cardiff City |
31.3% ( -1.66) | 24.55% ( -0) | 44.15% ( 1.67) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( -0.59) | 44.88% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% ( -0.56) | 67.23% ( 0.57) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( -1.32) | 27.25% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.32% ( -1.75) | 62.68% ( 1.75) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( 0.51) | 20.43% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.12% ( 0.8) | 52.88% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.3% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.15% |
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