Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Manchester United |
40.67% (![]() | 23.36% (![]() | 35.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.17% (![]() | 37.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.92% (![]() | 60.08% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.96% (![]() | 19.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.39% (![]() | 50.61% (![]() |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.75% (![]() | 21.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.83% (![]() | 54.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Manchester United |
2-1 @ 8.62% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 10.39% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 8.05% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.97% |
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