Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 48.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.08) 
