Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
16.27% ( -0.17)	19.75% ( 0.03)	63.97% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 55.39% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.66% (

-0.48)

39.34% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.32% (

-0.5)

61.68% (

0.5)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.69% (

-0.5)

37.31% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.9% (

-0.5)

74.09% (

0.5)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.35% (

-0.1)

11.65% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.31% (

-0.22)

36.69% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 16.27%

Pen-y-Bont 63.97%

Draw 19.75%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.27%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.75%	0-2 @ 10.04% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 7.2% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.02% Total : 63.97%