Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%).
-0.44) 
0.17) 
