SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
47.61% ( 0.31) | 25.35% ( -0.17) | 27.04% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% ( 0.59) | 50.63% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% ( 0.52) | 72.54% ( -0.51) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( 0.38) | 21.28% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% ( 0.58) | 54.21% ( -0.58) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( 0.2) | 33.25% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( 0.22) | 69.86% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.6% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.04% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
