SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Bala Town |
31.97% ( -0.07) | 24.81% ( 0.02) | 43.22% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -0.12) | 45.77% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.12) | 68.09% ( 0.11) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( -0.11) | 27.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% ( -0.14) | 62.7% ( 0.14) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( -0.03) | 21.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% ( -0.04) | 54.12% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.97% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.23% |
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