SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
53.79% ( 0.45) | 24.72% ( -0.3) | 21.48% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.12% ( 0.97) | 52.87% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.51% ( 0.82) | 74.48% ( -0.83) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0.56) | 19.61% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( 0.9) | 51.55% ( -0.9) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.54% ( 0.4) | 39.46% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% ( 0.36) | 76.15% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.78% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 21.48% |
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