SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
24.25% ( -0.03) | 24.45% ( -0.01) | 51.3% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( 0.03) | 49.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( 0.02) | 71.16% ( -0.02) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( -0.01) | 34.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.52% ( -0.01) | 71.47% ( 0.01) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 0.03) | 19.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( 0.04) | 50.76% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.25% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 51.3% |
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