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League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Brunton Park
CA

Carlisle
1 - 1
Crewe

Sadi (2')
Harris (64'), Jones (72'), Kelly (81'), Neal (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lankester (82' pen.)
Connolly (11'), Billington (12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Crewe
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Crewe Alexandra

Carlisle may find their match with Crewe to be a frustrating affair due to their opponents' defensive strength, and this resilience may be too much for the bottom-placed side to overcome. To add to this, Carlisle have been contrastingly poor defensively, and may struggle to keep Crewe at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
33.69% (-1.606 -1.61) 25.67% (0.507 0.51) 40.64% (1.096 1.1)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-2.08 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (-2.544 -2.54)49.09% (2.543 2.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (-2.344 -2.34)71.16% (2.342 2.34)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-2.176 -2.18)27.8% (2.175 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-2.872 -2.87)63.39% (2.872 2.87)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.572 -0.57)23.9% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (-0.825 -0.83)58.11% (0.824 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 33.69%
    Crewe Alexandra 40.64%
    Draw 25.67%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.366 0.37)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.335 -0.34)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.285 -0.29)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 33.69%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.666 0.67)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.293 -0.29)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.808 0.81)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.474 0.47)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 40.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Crewe
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Notts County
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crewe 3-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Crewe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two


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