Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Real Zaragoza
33.28% ( -0.28)	29.76% ( 0.06)	36.96% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 42.67% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.58% (

-0.23)

64.42% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.52% (

-0.17)

83.48% (

0.17)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08% (

-0.33)

35.92% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.3% (

-0.34)

72.69% (

0.34)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58% (

0.02)

33.42% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.96% (

0.02)

70.04% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 33.27%

Real Zaragoza 36.96%

Draw 29.76%

Cartagena	Draw	Real Zaragoza
1-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 33.27%	1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.76%	0-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.96%