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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
70.93% ( 0.57) | 16.03% ( -0.08) | 13.05% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 61.17% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.85% ( -0.85) | 28.15% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.08% ( -1.06) | 48.93% ( 1.07) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.94% ( -0.09) | 7.07% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.21% ( -0.25) | 25.79% ( 0.26) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( -1.26) | 34.18% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( -1.38) | 70.87% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.27)1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.56% Total : 70.93% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.03% | 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.31% Total : 13.05% |
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