SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Vizela |
28.56% ( 0.06) | 24.38% ( 0.02) | 47.06% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( -0.06) | 45.52% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.06) | 67.85% ( 0.06) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( 0.01) | 29.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( 0.01) | 65.44% ( -0.01) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( -0.05) | 19.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.7% ( -0.09) | 51.29% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.56% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.06% |
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