SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 14.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelsea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Bournemouth |
69.88% ( 0.04) | 15.6% ( 0.09) | 14.52% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 67.77% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.79% ( -0.74) | 22.2% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.82% ( -1.02) | 41.17% ( 1.02) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.16% ( -0.17) | 5.84% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.57% ( -0.48) | 22.42% ( 0.48) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( -0.69) | 28.02% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% ( -0.89) | 63.67% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)6-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.32% Total : 69.88% | 1-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.56% Total : 15.6% | 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 14.52% |
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