SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 72.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 11.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
72.4% ( 0.12) | 15.72% ( -0.02) | 11.88% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.18% ( -0.15) | 29.82% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.02% ( -0.18) | 50.98% ( 0.18) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.82% ( -0.01) | 7.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.91% ( -0.04) | 26.09% ( 0.04) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( -0.25) | 37.1% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.12% ( -0.25) | 73.88% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 8.04% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.79% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 4.13% Total : 72.4% | 1-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.72% | 1-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.64% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.88% |
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