SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
67.32% ( 0.62) | 17.82% ( -0.27) | 14.86% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.57) | 32.92% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.37% ( 0.65) | 54.63% ( -0.65) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% ( 0.3) | 9.02% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.28% ( 0.7) | 30.72% ( -0.7) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( -0.08) | 35.01% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( -0.08) | 71.75% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.96% Total : 67.32% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.82% | 1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 14.86% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
