SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
57.17% ( 0.13) | 22.58% ( -0.04) | 20.24% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% ( 0.08) | 45.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( 0.08) | 67.94% ( -0.08) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( 0.07) | 15.71% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.21% ( 0.13) | 44.79% ( -0.13) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.04) | 36.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( -0.04) | 73.37% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 57.17% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.24% |
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