SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
51.18% ( 0.05) | 24.3% ( -0.06) | 24.52% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.53% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( 0.26) | 48.23% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( 0.24) | 70.38% ( -0.24) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.13) | 18.84% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.71% ( 0.2) | 50.29% ( -0.2) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( 0.15) | 34.04% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% ( 0.16) | 70.72% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.18% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.52% |
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