Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
