SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
47.03% ( 0.03) | 25.31% ( 0) | 27.67% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( -0.02) | 50.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( -0.02) | 72.04% ( 0.02) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.01) | 21.3% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( 0.01) | 54.24% ( -0) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0.03) | 32.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% ( -0.03) | 68.98% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.47% Total : 47.02% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.67% |
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