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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Orlando City |
41.79% ( -0.2) | 24.77% ( -0.06) | 33.43% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( 0.36) | 45.14% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( 0.34) | 67.48% ( -0.35) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( 0.06) | 21.62% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.27% ( 0.1) | 54.72% ( -0.1) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( 0.33) | 26.05% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.9% ( 0.44) | 61.1% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.43% |
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