SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chile had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Chile win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Argentina |
17.81% ( -0.52) | 23.76% ( 0.09) | 58.43% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.3% ( -1.03) | 53.7% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.81% ( -0.88) | 75.19% ( 0.89) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.98% ( -1.23) | 44.02% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.86% ( -1.03) | 80.14% ( 1.04) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( -0.22) | 18.16% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.86% ( -0.38) | 49.14% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.81% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 13.63% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 11.63% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.29% Total : 58.42% |
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