SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
56.08% ( 0.45) | 22% ( -0.13) | 21.91% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.13% ( 0.2) | 40.87% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.74% ( 0.21) | 63.26% ( -0.21) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( 0.21) | 14.45% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.6% ( 0.41) | 42.4% ( -0.41) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( -0.17) | 32.29% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( -0.19) | 68.79% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.08% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 21.91% |
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