SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Gloucester City |
57.5% ( 0.03) | 22.01% ( -0.02) | 20.49% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.21% ( 0.06) | 42.79% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.81% ( 0.06) | 65.19% ( -0.06) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( 0.03) | 14.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.23% ( 0.06) | 42.77% ( -0.06) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( 0.02) | 34.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.55% ( 0.02) | 71.45% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 57.5% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 20.49% |
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