Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Duarte (49')
Orzusa (45'),
Blasi (51'),
Ojeda (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castro (49'),
Duque (87'),
Mejia (90')
Castro (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Club Nacional and Atletico Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Nacional in this match.
| Result |
| Club Nacional | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
43.73% ( -0.39) | 27.18% ( 0.35) | 29.08% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( -0.99) |
| 43.34% ( -1.28) | 56.66% ( 1.28) |
| 22.37% ( -1.04) | 77.62% ( 1.04) |
| 74.27% ( -0.77) | 25.72% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.35% ( -1.06) | 60.64% ( 1.06) |
| 65.14% ( -0.65) | 34.85% ( 0.65) |
