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Leagues Cup | Semi-Finals
Aug 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Lower.com Field
PU

Columbus Crew
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Rossi (12', 43'), Camilo Hernandez (53')
Zawadzki (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gazdag (32')
Bueno (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Columbus Crew 1-0 Philadelphia Union

This is usually the stage where we see the Union struggle, and facing a side as balanced as the Crew, we do not believe the visitors have enough firepower to advance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 14.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawPhiladelphia Union
67.53% (0.052000000000007 0.05) 18.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 14.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.62% (0.043999999999997 0.04)37.38% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.41% (0.047000000000004 0.05)59.59% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.82% (0.024000000000001 0.02)10.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.58% (0.055999999999997 0.06)33.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)38.9% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.37% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)75.63% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 67.52%
    Philadelphia Union 14.1%
    Draw 18.37%
Columbus CrewDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.87% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 67.52%
1-1 @ 8.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 14.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 11pm in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-2 Inter Miami
Wednesday, August 14 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Kansas
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Mazatlan (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia
Wednesday, August 14 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Montreal
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cruz Azul (3-5 pen.)
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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