SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Bala Town |
28.85% ( 0.06) | 23.73% ( -0.01) | 47.42% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( 0.08) | 42.39% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( 0.08) | 64.79% ( -0.08) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( 0.08) | 27.64% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( 0.1) | 63.18% ( -0.11) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.01) | 18.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( 0.02) | 48.98% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.29% 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 47.42% |
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