SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Santos had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Santos |
57.17% ( -0.7) | 23.02% ( 0.19) | 19.82% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( -0.08) | 48.02% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( -0.08) | 70.19% ( 0.08) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( -0.27) | 16.56% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.67% ( -0.49) | 46.33% ( 0.49) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.59% ( 0.51) | 38.41% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.84% ( 0.48) | 75.16% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 57.16% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.06)Other @ 1% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.49% Total : 19.82% |
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