SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.89%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
56.36% ( 0.34) | 19.8% ( 0.06) | 23.83% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 68.87% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.2% ( -0.74) | 27.8% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.93) | 48.49% ( 0.92) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( -0.15) | 10.12% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.7% ( -0.35) | 33.3% ( 0.34) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( -0.69) | 23.37% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( -1.02) | 57.35% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.2)1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.81% Total : 56.36% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.8% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 23.83% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
