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Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
1 - 2
Puebla

Ditta (45')
Guerrero (67'), Uriel (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martinez (20'), Silva (59')
Angulo (28'), Herrera Rodriguez (84'), Sansores (90+9'), de los Santos (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, November 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 5-4 Club Leon
Saturday, November 4 at 3am in Liga MX

We said: Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla

Puebla are not as strong in the attacking third as their previous result might suggest, and we expect to see an even match with two sides who have failed to find much consistency this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawPuebla
52.05% (0.375 0.38) 23.94% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 24% (-0.46 -0.46)
Both teams to score 54.12% (-0.773 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (-0.78 -0.78)47.18% (0.775 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.58% (-0.73 -0.73)69.41% (0.724 0.72)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)18.11% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.257 -0.26)49.05% (0.252 0.25)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (-0.81999999999999 -0.82)33.91% (0.814 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (-0.896 -0.9)70.58% (0.89100000000001 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 52.05%
    Puebla 24%
    Draw 23.93%
Cruz AzulDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, November 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-0 Juarez
Thursday, November 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Club Leon
Sunday, October 29 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, October 22 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-4 Pumas
Sunday, October 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
Thursday, October 5 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 5-4 Club Leon
Saturday, November 4 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-1 Puebla
Wednesday, November 1 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Puebla
Sunday, October 29 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, October 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Puebla
Monday, October 9 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Monterrey
Wednesday, October 4 at 2am in Liga MX


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