SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 37.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crystal Palace in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
37.4% ( -2.85) | 23.91% ( -0.7) | 38.69% ( 3.55) |
| Both teams to score 61.81% ( 2.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.57% ( 3.59) | 40.42% ( -3.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.2% ( 3.6) | 62.8% ( -3.6) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( 0.17) | 21.69% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( 0.27) | 54.84% ( -0.27) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 3.47) | 21.06% ( -3.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% ( 5.14) | 53.87% ( -5.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -1.17)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.86)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.4% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.35)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.8)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.63)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.5)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.4)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.39)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.3)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.69% |
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