It is always difficult to know what to expect when two Premier League sides meet in the early rounds of the FA Cup, as both managers will make changes to their sides. Southampton are really difficult to back at the moment due to their struggles, though, so we have had to side with the home team on this occasion.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
1.7) 
-0.46) 
