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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
43.06% ( 1.7) | 25.61% ( -0.46) | 31.33% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( 1.55) | 49.52% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 1.38) | 71.55% ( -1.38) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 1.52) | 22.9% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( 2.19) | 56.65% ( -2.19) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( -0.05) | 29.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( -0.06) | 65.57% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.06% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.33% |
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