SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 40.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 29.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | River Plate |
40.55% ( -0.04) | 29.8% ( 0.18) | 29.65% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.66% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.8% ( -0.58) | 65.21% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.97% ( -0.4) | 84.04% ( 0.41) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( -0.32) | 31.61% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% ( -0.37) | 68.02% ( 0.38) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0.43) | 39.09% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.2% ( -0.41) | 75.81% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 14.23% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.79% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.51% Total : 29.65% |
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