SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Danubio |
39.3% ( -0.01) | 27.93% ( 0.01) | 32.77% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.71% ( -0.05) | 58.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.09% ( -0.04) | 78.91% ( 0.04) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( -0.03) | 28.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( -0.04) | 64.76% ( 0.03) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% ( -0.03) | 33.01% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.4% ( -0.03) | 69.6% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.77% |
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