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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Parque Capurro

Fenix
1 - 0
River Plate

Cachi (30' pen.)
Alvez (16'), Guisolfo (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chopitea (85'), Scarone (86')
Amoroso (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 1-3 Fenix
Saturday, June 22 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-3 River Plate
Sunday, June 23 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fenix in this match.

Result
FenixDrawRiver Plate
36.18% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 29.43% (0.09 0.09) 34.39% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 43.65% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.71% (-0.298 -0.3)63.29% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.32% (-0.215 -0.22)82.67% (0.214 0.21)
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (-0.142 -0.14)33.33% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05% (-0.158 -0.16)69.95% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.47% (-0.235 -0.23)34.52% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-0.251 -0.25)71.24% (0.25 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Fenix 36.17%
    River Plate 34.38%
    Draw 29.42%
FenixDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 12.64% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.95% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.17%
1-1 @ 13.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.5% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.42%
0-1 @ 12.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 34.38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maldonado 1-3 Fenix
Saturday, June 22 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 3-1 Wanderers
Sunday, June 16 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Fenix
Saturday, June 8 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-1 Penarol
Sunday, June 2 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Fenix
Sunday, May 26 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 18 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-3 River Plate
Sunday, June 23 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Maldonado
Saturday, June 15 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, June 9 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-3 Racing
Sunday, June 2 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 3-2 River Plate
Sunday, May 26 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-2 Rampla
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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