SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | River Plate |
37.39% ( 0.09) | 30.25% ( 0.01) | 32.36% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 41.28% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.98% ( -0.04) | 66.01% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.4% ( -0.03) | 84.59% ( 0.02) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( 0.03) | 33.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( 0.04) | 70.66% ( -0.04) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.09) | 37.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.76% ( -0.09) | 74.24% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 13.73% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.24% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 32.36% |
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