With Cardiff's only point having come on their travels, they will feel that they have the capabilities of ending their dismal run here. However, Derby appear to be growing in confidence and that could prove decisive if the game is close at the business end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
-0.04) 
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