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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
HL

Derby
1 - 1
Hull City

Brown (66')
Forsyth (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simons (57')
Simons (72'), Hughes (77'), Burstow (90+1'), Pedro (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 Hull City

With Derby County having excelled at home so far this season and the visitors yet to truly click under Tim Walter, we back Derby County to earn another three points and continue their pleasing start to the term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawHull City
41.63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.5% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46%48.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 41.63%
    Hull City 32.87%
    Draw 25.49%
Derby CountyDrawHull City
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.26%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-0 QPR
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Derby
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Alanyaspor 0-2 Hull City
Friday, October 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 2
Last Game: Norwich 4-0 Hull City
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Hull City
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship


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