SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Shelbourne |
46.99% ( -0.05) | 26.88% ( 0.01) | 26.13% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.93% ( -0.02) | 57.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.05% ( -0.02) | 77.95% ( 0.01) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( -0.03) | 24.3% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( -0.05) | 58.67% ( 0.04) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% ( 0.02) | 37.47% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% ( 0.02) | 74.25% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 12.88% 2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 26.13% |
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