Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.

Result
Dordrecht	Draw	VVV-Venlo
40.91% ( -0.41)	23.33% ( 0.04)	35.76% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 63.84% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.29% (

-0.15)

37.71% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.04% (

-0.16)

59.95% (

0.16)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.12% (

-0.24)

18.88% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.65% (

-0.4)

50.35% (

0.41)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.69% (

0.12)

21.3% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.75% (

0.18)

54.24% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Dordrecht 40.91%

VVV-Venlo 35.76%

Draw 23.32%

Dordrecht	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.51% Total : 40.91%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.76%