SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
45.94% ( 0.78) | 24.08% ( -0.03) | 29.98% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.65% ( -0.22) | 43.35% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% ( -0.21) | 65.75% ( 0.22) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( 0.24) | 19.05% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.37% ( 0.4) | 50.63% ( -0.39) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% ( -0.59) | 27.36% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.18% ( -0.77) | 62.82% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.98% |
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