SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Elgin City |
61.73% ( -0.64) | 20.96% ( 0.33) | 17.31% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.05% ( -0.95) | 42.96% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( -0.95) | 65.36% ( 0.95) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.49) | 13.39% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.69% ( -0.98) | 40.31% ( 0.99) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.2) | 38.25% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.99% ( -0.19) | 75.01% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.12% Total : 61.72% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.96% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 17.32% |
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